Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1059.001936 1199.603330 1355.352170 1541.274616 1757.951468 2003.420043 2303.860650
2025-09-07 853.131601 1041.744742 1270.122051 1569.580453 1955.683925 2441.908892 3108.795621
2025-09-14 712.346480 911.870376 1167.524597 1523.886106 2015.396268 2680.843394 3669.815370
2025-09-21 614.234349 815.680988 1085.514086 1480.435937 2055.753869 2882.731461 4198.065573
2025-09-28 537.261277 735.269898 1010.397690 1429.840654 2069.920697 3038.748827 4674.414493
2025-10-05 504.618060 711.165825 1008.662684 1480.963731 2236.173013 3441.147544 5605.650995
2025-10-12 470.141019 679.661008 991.052557 1503.409007 2357.581876 3787.153899 6506.262659
2025-10-19 438.745214 648.920152 970.241285 1516.434512 2462.698132 4118.587385 7443.734537
2025-10-26 411.184443 620.993849 950.201883 1526.969562 2562.872930 4453.969735 8455.336995
2025-11-02 393.332216 606.413235 949.487376 1569.007579 2722.996587 4922.887791 9837.714646
2025-11-09 373.813976 587.139563 938.721315 1591.389621 2848.683917 5344.337961 11214.754923
2025-11-16 354.840443 566.976652 924.237219 1604.766401 2957.886685 5749.074085 12649.777959
2025-11-23 336.058342 546.166443 907.702010 1614.401838 3065.260972 6178.093024 14281.931304
2025-11-30 321.721309 531.921475 901.593945 1643.548154 3217.934285 6737.280850 16414.870911
2025-12-07 298.048762 499.201663 858.850153 1595.360481 3198.335548 6897.467298 17516.997505
2025-12-14 277.033344 469.660575 819.445866 1549.505748 3177.232918 7049.944841 18642.594005
2025-12-21 257.036095 440.549174 778.490100 1496.130025 3131.883164 7134.905415 19594.733716
2025-12-28 251.590005 437.945606 788.028699 1550.062796 3343.139686 7914.736678 22987.817055
2026-01-04 243.019916 428.770917 783.847748 1573.747291 3485.580714 8542.418163 26113.455840
2026-01-11 233.998689 418.053690 775.638972 1587.493495 3605.501322 9133.487244 29341.849475
2026-01-18 225.352054 407.439822 766.732074 1598.612276 3720.465927 9735.633542 32861.576919
2026-01-25 220.438394 403.826102 771.932947 1642.986831 3929.885178 10669.147038 38122.644111
2026-02-01 213.884710 396.449485 768.576041 1666.617589 4087.127966 11478.688623 43260.812622